女士們，先生(sheng)們，

你們好！謝謝合(he)作！

經(jing)歷(li)過極端多雨的2023年秋季、冬季，以(yi)及2024年的(de)春季(ji)，我們迎來一(yi)個非常不平凡的(de)收獲季(ji)節(jie)。難以(yi)忘懷，體現于作物生產的(de)方方面面。

在我(wo)們2024年3月、4月(yue)、6月的(de)市場通訊中，及近(jin)期的(de)交流中，我(wo)們已經解釋了郁金香種(zhong)球供應(ying)少的(de)原因。

1 因為(wei)2023年的(de)作物(wu)差導(dao)致籽(zi)球缺乏(fa)，以及鐮刀菌的(de)影響，導(dao)致2024年的(de)種植(zhi)面積下降5%。

2 自1974年以來最差的種植(zhi)季節(jie)發生(sheng)了，源(yuan)于(yu)2023年(nian)秋季(ji)、冬季(ji)歷史(shi)性的降雨(yu)。

3 歐洲及(ji)其它國(guo)家極(ji)高的郁金香鮮花價(jia)格。

4 相對溫暖的2023年冬季及2024年春節，導致田野里的郁金(jin)香生(sheng)長發(fa)育早(zao)。

5 4、5、6月持續的降雨及冰雹。

6 地里的郁金香開花不整(zheng)齊，以及很多田地出現水患。

2024年的春季(ji)（3、4、5月）是荷(he)蘭125年來(lai)最潮濕、最溫暖的(de)春季。平均溫度11.8℃高于9.9℃的長期平均(jun)溫度。最(zui)潮濕，體現在(zai)262mm的降雨量，高于142mm的長期平(ping)均降(jiang)雨量。

2024年4月(yue)郁金香開花不規(gui)則且早(zao)。多雨而涼爽的5月通常(chang)是有(you)助于(yu)郁金香生長(chang)的(de)(de)，地(di)里不會收(shou)到(dao)(dao)高溫及強光(guang)的(de)(de)影響，然而，很(hen)多(duo)地(di)都被雨(yu)水和冰雹破壞(huai)了(le)。我們看(kan)到(dao)(dao)，同(tong)一(yi)塊地(di)里生長(chang)差異非常(chang)大(da)。多(duo)雨(yu)且涼爽的(de)(de)天氣持續(xu)到(dao)(dao)6月(yue)。

因(yin)為溫暖的(de)(de)(de)春季導致郁金香生長早，收(shou)(shou)(shou)獲(huo)也早。一方面，持(chi)續的(de)(de)(de)降(jiang)雨(yu)導致嚴(yan)重的(de)(de)(de)灰霉病，另一方面秋季的(de)(de)(de)多雨(yu)導致根生長很差。收(shou)(shou)(shou)獲(huo)早，通常意味著(zhu)收(shou)(shou)(shou)獲(huo)結果(guo)差。由于雨(yu)依然持(chi)續，收(shou)(shou)(shou)獲(huo)困(kun)難。所有的(de)(de)(de)種植地，無(wu)論(lun)是(shi)粘(zhan)土地，還是(shi)砂(sha)土地，無(wu)論(lun)是(shi)南北，還是(shi)東西，收(shou)(shou)(shou)獲(huo)結果(guo)令人非常失望。在種植區域Hillegom、Breezand，對于那些沒有生長(chang)出規格12/+，以及(ji)非常少量的規格為11/12的(de)郁金香種球的(de)土地(di)，完完全全就是(shi)災(zai)難。我們(men)最好(hao)的(de)種球生(sheng)長者，告知我們(men)，印象(xiang)系列郁金香以及其它達爾文郁金香，根據不同的(de)種球規格，有30-70%的缺口。

缺(que)額如此之多，甚至缺(que)口(kou)來自于我(wo)們優選的、長(chang)期最(zui)信賴(lai)的種球生(sheng)產者。2023年已經是(shi)歷史很差(cha)的收獲季(ji)了(le)，欠收約(yue)20%的(de)(de)可銷售的(de)(de)郁金香種球(qiu)，根(gen)據這個比例，計算出2023年少收10億(yi)個郁金(jin)香(xiang)種(zhong)球。2024年(nian)甚至更差，我們預計(ji)欠收40%，相當于約20億(yi)個(ge)郁金香商品種球缺失。

許多老(lao)一(yi)些的(de)郁(yu)金香種球生產者說，今年的(de)收獲結果比60年前的1963年還(huan)要差。平(ping)均來算，種球生(sheng)產者損失(shi)15000歐元/公頃，源于(yu)成本的(de)增加以(yi)及收入的(de)減少(shao)。而(er)且(qie)，因(yin)為(wei)多(duo)雨(yu)，我們(men)很(hen)擔心(xin)種球(qiu)(qiu)的(de)質(zhi)量(liang)，特別是鐮刀菌和腐(fu)爛。市場(chang)上(shang)有(you)限的(de)在售種球(qiu)(qiu)已經天(tian)價。

附原文，改文發自2024年8月1日收到作者的電子郵件。

August 2024

Dear Madam/Sir,

Thank you for your usual cooperation.

After an extremely rainy autumn, winter and spring, we are having a very unusual harvest season. A year to never forget, in all aspects of the growing.

In our previous growing and market reports of March, April, and June 2024, and in our other recent communications, we explained the reasons for the limited availability of tulip bulbs as follows:

1.     The planted acreage decreased by almost 5%, due to the lack of planting stock as a result of the poor crop results of 2023 and numerous fusarium quality problems.

2.     The worst planting season since 1974 due to historically heavy rainfall last autumn and winter.

3.     Extremely high tulip flower prices in Europe and many other countries.

4.    ; Relatively warm weather in winter and spring, causing early growing in the fields.

5.     Continuous rainfall and even hail in April, May and June.

6.     Irregular flowering of the fields and much water damage.

Spring (March, April and May) in the Netherlands in 2024 was the warmest and wettest in 125 years. The average temperature was 11.8oC instead of the long-standing average of 9.9oC. It was also the wettest, with 262 mm instead of an average 142 mm of rainfall. You can find the monthly updated weather data on our website 2024 | Weer | Jan de Wit en Zonen B.V.

The tulips flowered irregularly but quite early in April. The rainy and cool weather in May was basically good for tulip growing. The fields did not suffer from high temperatures or strong sunshine. However, many fields had damage from water and hail. The differences in growth per field can vary a lot. The cool and rainy weather continued into June.

The growers started harvesting early because of the warm spring with early growth. The fields died quickly because of the poor rooting in autumn and severe botrytis due to persistent rainfall.  An early harvest is usually a bad harvest. The harvesting was difficult as the rain still continued. The harvest  results are very disappointing from our growers from all major production areas, both on clay and sandy soils, south and north, east and west. There are complete disasters with fields producing no 12/+ and very little 11/12. From the sandy soils, both in Hillegom and Breezand, our top growers informed us of the Impression series and other Darwin hybrid varieties with shortages ranging from 30-70%, depending on the size.

There are many shortages, even from our selected, long-term, most reliable tulip growers. Crop 2023 was already a historically bad harvest with a shortage of around 20% of commercial tulip bulbs. If you calculate this over the total tulip production, this was an estimated shortage of more than 1 billion tulips. The results of crop 2024 are even worse, and we now estimate a shortage of around 40%, which amounts to a shortage of more than 2 billion tulip bulbs.

Some older tulip growers say the harvest results are even worse than in 1963, more than 60 years ago. On average, the tulip bulb growers are losing 15,000 euros per ha due to the increased growing costs and reduced income. Moreover, we are concerned about bulb quality under these rainy conditions, especially for fusarium and rot. The bulb prices for the limited remaining quantities have become sky-high.

Anyhow, under these difficult circumstances, we would like to keep in touch with you as much as possible by phone, video calls, e-mail, etc., and through our livestreams. We would like to invite you to follow us on our social media for updates on our activities, photos, etc. You can find our Facebook page at www.facebook.com/jandewitenzonen/, our Instagram page at www.instagram.com/jandewitenzonen/ and our YouTube channel at //www.youtube.com/user/jandewitenzonenbv. We also recommend visiting our website www.jandewitenzonen.com for information and photos. You can always contact us for a personal video meeting. 

Please do not hesitate to contact us if you have any questions. We appreciate your kind understanding and patience.           

Best regards, 

Jan de Wit